Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.4%
Chelsea
19.2%
Draw
8.4%
Wolves
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
Chelsea
vs
0.68
Wolves
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.5%
1-0
10.7%
3-0
10.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
6.3%
4-0
5.8%
4-1
4.0%
2-2
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
5-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).