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AHT: 03CSV

23 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.0%
Braintree Town
30.7%
Draw
53.3%
Bromley

Expected Goals (xG)

0.60

Braintree Town

vs
1.32

Bromley

Markets

BTTS34.1%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.558.3%
Over 2.530.3%
Over 3.512.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
18.3%
0-0
15.6%
0-2
12.8%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-0
2.6%
2-2
2.3%
0-4
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).