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17 Feb 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.9%
Tranmere
15.7%
Draw
71.4%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Tranmere

vs
2.57

Stockport

Markets

BTTS58.1%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.547.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
8.0%
0-3
7.9%
0-1
7.5%
1-1
6.9%
1-4
5.1%
0-4
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
2-3
4.0%
2-1
3.6%
1-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).