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AHT: 02CSV

04 Feb 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.5%
Eupen
28.0%
Draw
40.5%
Waasland-Beveren

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Eupen

vs
1.37

Waasland-Beveren

Markets

BTTS52.4%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
0-0
8.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.3%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).