Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.5%
Cardiff
13.8%
Draw
9.7%
Rotherham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.56
Cardiff
vs
0.77
Rotherham
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.542.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.7%
3-0
10.0%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
3-1
7.7%
1-1
6.5%
4-0
6.4%
4-1
4.9%
2-2
3.5%
0-1
3.4%
5-0
3.3%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).