Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.6%
Southampton
22.9%
Draw
16.5%
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Southampton
vs
0.93
West Brom
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-0
10.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
0-1
4.4%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).