Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Mansfield
25.1%
Draw
25.8%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Mansfield
vs
0.99
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.8%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).