Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.8%
West Brom
26.2%
Draw
48.9%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
West Brom
vs
1.64
Southampton
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.6%
0-0
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).