Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.2%
Scunthorpe
24.4%
Draw
37.4%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Scunthorpe
vs
1.68
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS67.2%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.565.5%
Over 3.543.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
1-0
5.0%
0-1
4.9%
2-0
4.9%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
0-0
4.2%
3-2
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).