Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.1%
Chateauroux
18.8%
Draw
68.1%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Chateauroux
vs
1.97
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
0-2
13.4%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
8.8%
1-1
8.8%
1-3
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
1-0
5.6%
0-4
4.3%
2-1
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
1-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).