Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.8%
Gil Vicente
24.0%
Draw
14.2%
Farense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Gil Vicente
vs
0.59
Farense
Markets
BTTS34.7%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.6%
2-0
14.2%
0-0
11.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
7.4%
0-1
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
4-0
2.9%
2-2
2.5%
0-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).