Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.1%
Monza
28.5%
Draw
34.4%
Verona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Monza
vs
1.08
Verona
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
12.6%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).