Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.4%
Estoril
20.0%
Draw
25.6%
Moreirense
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Estoril
vs
1.43
Moreirense
Markets
BTTS66.7%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.547.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
1-0
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
3-2
4.7%
3-0
4.6%
0-1
4.4%
4-1
3.5%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).