Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.7%
Nurnberg
27.2%
Draw
38.0%
Paderborn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Nurnberg
vs
1.47
Paderborn
Markets
BTTS59.0%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.3%
0-0
6.9%
1-0
6.8%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).