Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.8%
Samsunspor
30.8%
Draw
17.5%
Karagumruk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Samsunspor
vs
0.88
Karagumruk
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
11.2%
2-0
10.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
0-1
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).