Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.4%
Bastia
28.1%
Draw
43.5%
Guingamp
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Bastia
vs
1.15
Guingamp
Markets
BTTS38.4%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.558.7%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.514.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.5%
1-0
12.6%
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
4.9%
0-3
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).