Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.8%
Basel
21.3%
Draw
10.9%
Yverdon Sport
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23
Basel
vs
0.83
Yverdon Sport
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.9%
3-0
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
6.2%
4-0
4.9%
4-1
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
1-2
3.6%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).