⚽ FootballData
2 – 4
AHT: 11

04 Oct 2025 · 12:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
33.0%
Nieciecza
29.2%
Draw
37.8%
Widzew Lodz

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Nieciecza

vs
1.30

Widzew Lodz

Markets

BTTS51.8%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
0-1
9.6%
0-0
9.4%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.1%
0-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).