Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.2%
Norwich
28.9%
Draw
31.9%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Norwich
vs
1.19
Millwall
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
9.7%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).