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DHT: 10CSV

01 Nov 2020 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.4%
Fuenlabrada
29.5%
Draw
32.1%
Tenerife

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Fuenlabrada

vs
1.00

Tenerife

Markets

BTTS42.3%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.516.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.6%
1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.2%
0-0
11.9%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).