Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.1%
Notts County
25.0%
Draw
30.9%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Notts County
vs
1.16
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).