Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.3%
Brest
24.1%
Draw
43.6%
Monaco
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Brest
vs
1.56
Monaco
Markets
BTTS57.4%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.9%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.4%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).