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14 Sept 2025 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.2%
Öster
25.2%
Draw
31.7%
Värnamo

Expected Goals (xG)

1.76

Öster

vs
1.49

Värnamo

Markets

BTTS65.2%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.540.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.0%
1-0
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
0-0
5.0%
0-1
4.7%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).