Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.5%
Charlton
16.9%
Draw
9.7%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Charlton
vs
0.57
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS37.5%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
2-0
15.2%
3-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
1-1
7.7%
0-0
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-0
5.5%
0-1
4.7%
4-1
3.2%
2-2
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).