Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.5%
Roma
12.6%
Draw
5.9%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
2.64
Roma
vs
0.57
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.0%
3-0
12.3%
1-0
10.7%
4-0
8.2%
2-1
8.0%
3-1
7.1%
1-1
6.0%
4-1
4.7%
5-0
4.3%
0-0
3.9%
5-1
2.5%
0-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).