Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.4%
Rochdale
31.2%
Draw
22.5%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Rochdale
vs
0.81
Southend
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
1-1
13.9%
0-0
13.6%
2-0
10.1%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-2
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).