Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.8%
Torquay
27.5%
Draw
15.7%
Braintree Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Torquay
vs
0.69
Braintree Town
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
6.6%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.1%
0-2
2.6%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).