Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.2%
Maritimo
28.6%
Draw
32.2%
Farense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Maritimo
vs
0.99
Farense
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.516.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
12.6%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).