Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.2%
Leicester
27.7%
Draw
31.1%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Leicester
vs
1.34
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS60.1%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.533.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
7.0%
1-0
6.9%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
6.0%
0-1
5.7%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).