Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.6%
Elversberg
27.5%
Draw
25.0%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Elversberg
vs
1.08
Hertha
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).