Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.0%
Niort
21.0%
Draw
52.0%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Niort
vs
1.86
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS59.9%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.538.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.6%
1-1
9.5%
0-1
9.0%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
6.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
1-3
5.9%
0-3
4.7%
2-3
3.8%
0-0
3.5%
2-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).