Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.2%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
29.1%
Draw
38.7%
Mainz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Borussia Mönchengladbach
vs
1.30
Mainz
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
0-1
10.1%
0-0
9.5%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).