Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.7%
AVS
22.4%
Draw
58.9%
Guimaraes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
AVS
vs
1.75
Guimaraes
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
6.8%
0-3
6.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).