Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.3%
Bari
35.0%
Draw
27.7%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Bari
vs
0.83
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS37.0%
Over 0.582.7%
Over 1.556.0%
Over 2.527.9%
Over 3.511.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.3%
1-0
14.7%
1-1
14.6%
0-1
11.9%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).