Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.9%
Alcorcon
30.9%
Draw
36.1%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Alcorcon
vs
1.01
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.558.2%
Over 2.531.2%
Over 3.513.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
0-0
14.0%
1-0
13.5%
1-1
13.4%
0-2
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).