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15 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.8%
Bonnyrigg Rose
28.9%
Draw
37.4%
Dumbarton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Bonnyrigg Rose

vs
1.49

Dumbarton

Markets

BTTS60.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
0-0
7.5%
0-2
6.1%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
6.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-0
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).