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20 Dec 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.2%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
28.0%
Draw
49.8%
Brentford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Wolverhampton Wanderers

vs
1.63

Brentford

Markets

BTTS53.2%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.3%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
6.0%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).