Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.9%
Monza
25.5%
Draw
50.6%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Monza
vs
1.52
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.1%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).