Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.9%
Dag and Red
28.0%
Draw
30.1%
Boston Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Dag and Red
vs
1.19
Boston Utd
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).