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16 Dec 2023 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.5%
Hertha
19.9%
Draw
9.6%
Osnabruck

Expected Goals (xG)

2.16

Hertha

vs
0.68

Osnabruck

Markets

BTTS44.6%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.6%
1-0
11.8%
3-0
9.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-0
5.3%
4-1
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).