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12 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.9%
Granada
20.5%
Draw
12.6%
Cultural Leonesa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.93

Granada

vs
0.69

Cultural Leonesa

Markets

BTTS42.5%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.1%
2-0
13.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
8.7%
0-0
7.2%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.1%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).