Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.0%
Liverpool
30.1%
Draw
27.9%
Everton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Liverpool
vs
1.11
Everton
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
9.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.0%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).