Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.0%
Las Palmas
25.4%
Draw
23.6%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Las Palmas
vs
0.96
Almeria
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.1%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).