Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.0%
Red Star
27.8%
Draw
31.2%
Orleans
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Red Star
vs
0.94
Orleans
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.560.4%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
0-1
12.9%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).