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22 Sept 2024 · 19:00

AEK

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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8.2%
Athens Kallithea
19.8%
Draw
72.0%
AEK

Expected Goals (xG)

0.58

Athens Kallithea

vs
2.09

AEK

Markets

BTTS39.1%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
15.2%
0-1
13.8%
0-3
10.6%
1-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
0-0
7.8%
1-3
6.1%
0-4
5.5%
1-0
3.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-2
2.5%
2-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).