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AHT: 01CSV

11 Mar 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.5%
Torquay
24.2%
Draw
20.3%
Wealdstone

Expected Goals (xG)

1.87

Torquay

vs
1.06

Wealdstone

Markets

BTTS56.2%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
1-0
9.1%
0-0
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
0-1
4.8%
3-2
3.3%
0-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).