Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
Augsburg
30.4%
Draw
31.9%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Augsburg
vs
1.07
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
11.3%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
7.9%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).