Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.8%
Gillingham
25.0%
Draw
22.2%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Gillingham
vs
0.87
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
8.6%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).