Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.7%
Almeria
22.4%
Draw
26.9%
La Coruna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Almeria
vs
1.31
La Coruna
Markets
BTTS61.5%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.6%
3-0
4.5%
0-0
4.1%
3-2
3.9%
0-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).