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DHT: 01

14 Sept 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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76.7%
Gorleston
15.1%
Draw
8.2%
Barking

Expected Goals (xG)

2.38

Gorleston

vs
0.63

Barking

Markets

BTTS42.0%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.0%
1-0
12.0%
3-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
1-1
7.1%
3-1
7.0%
4-0
6.6%
0-0
4.7%
4-1
4.1%
0-1
3.3%
5-0
3.2%
2-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).